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Key Trends Shaping Payments in the Second Half of 2025 and Beyond

Now firmly into the second half of 2025, the payments industry finds itself navigating a complex landscape shaped by ongoing innovation, evolving regulatory compliance requirements, and rapid technological advancements. Major developments in ISO 20022 adoption, real-time account-to-account (A2A) payments, and the acceleration of embedded financial services are not merely emerging, they are already setting the stage for the transformative years ahead. Financial institutions, especially small to mid-sized ones, must strategically address the unique challenges and opportunities presented by these trends to successfully navigate the remainder of the decade.

ISO 20022 Takes Center Stage

Founded in 2004, the ISO 20022 messaging standard has seen significant adoption over the past five years, with the successful July 14 migration to Fedwire seeing the network join other major migrated/native systems such as FedNow, The Clearing House RTP®, and SEPA (Europe). With ISO now firmly cemented as the global standard for payments, how financial institutions handle transaction data is being reshaped.

With greater transparency and data granularity, payment networks, banks, and other financial institutions who proactively embraced ISO 20022 are already offering personalized financial services tailored to customer preferences, substantially improving client relationships and retention.

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Additionally, ISO 20022 adoption facilitates enhanced regulatory compliance, as richer transaction data provides clearer audit trails and easier reporting processes, demonstrated by 30-40% more data travelling with every payment, according to KPMG. This will reduce potential regulatory penalties and operational risks, enabling banks to allocate more resources toward innovation and customer-centric initiatives.

By the end of the year, ISO 20022 will be even more deeply integrated into banking operations globally, increasingly enhancing interoperability and enabling richer transaction insights. The years of migrations and integrations haven’t just been about compliance; the messaging standard is, and will continue to be, a powerful lever for growth, allowing banks to unlock greater value through improved customer analytics, enhanced fraud detection, and streamlined cross-border transactions.

Real-time A2A Payments Enter the Mainstream

We live in a society of instant gratification and accessibility, so naturally, real-time payments have become a customer expectation. As we stand, the acceleration of instant payment solutions like FedNow, The Clearing House’s RTP, and international equivalents such as PIX (Brazil) and UPI (India) have expanded consumer and business demand for immediate transactions.

According to the most recently available research, businesses account for approximately 80% of RTP transactions, yet 95% of these payments were received by consumers. This highlights significant potential for growth in high-value business-to-business (B2B) RTP transactions. Smaller banks remain hesitant due to integration challenges and implementation costs. Recent research from the Faster Payments Council highlights this divide, revealing that large financial institutions are more than 50% more likely than smaller instituions to implement full-service RTP (send and receive capabilities).

The ability of smaller institutions to bridge this gap efficiently will depend heavily on leveraging cloud-based, scalable solutions. By adopting flexible, agile platforms, these banks can meet customer expectations without incurring prohibitive costs. The broader adoption of real-time payments is also reshaping corporate treasury functions. Real-time liquidity management, accelerated invoice settlements, and instantaneous payroll distributions improve business operational efficiencies. Institutions capable of delivering these enhanced functionalities will solidify their competitive advantage and expand their corporate banking presence in the years ahead.

Embedded Finance: Redefining the Customer Experience

Embedded finance has firmly established itself as a significant factor reshaping financial service delivery, particularly in B2B and B2C commerce. Financial solutions are now operating behind the scenes, seamlessly integrated into non-financial platforms, software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions, and e-commerce marketplaces.

For example, businesses can initiate payments, access financing, and reconcile transactions all from within the core platforms they use for daily operations. Payment capabilities are no longer limited to traditional banking portals; they’re embedded into workflows where financial decisions are made. As a result, customer expectations are now firm: transactions to be effortless, personalized, and instantaneous, mirroring consumer experiences in their business interactions.

For financial institutions, embedded finance has proven to unlock new revenue streams and enhance customer loyalty. Banks that effectively integrate their payment systems with non-financial ecosystems now hold strategic advantages, allowing them to swiftly adapt to evolving customer demands. As consumer behaviors evolve, especially among digitally-native generations,  institutions are actively embedding responsive, secure, and flexible financial solutions into broader service frameworks.

Embedded lending, buy-now-pay-later (BNPL), and integrated insurance products have become clear examples of how embedded finance generates additional revenue and deepens customer relationships. Institutions that have successfully partnered with fintechs and non-financial entities are already seeing differentiation in a crowded marketplace. Moving forward, the continued integration and refinement of these solutions will be essential for sustained competitive success.

AI, Fraud Prevention, and Regulatory Challenges

AI has already become integral to payments, especially in the near-term for fraud monitoring and prevention, with the Federal Trade Commission reporting that Americans lost $12.5 billion to fraud in 2024, a 25% annual increase. That said, a 2025 American Banking Association survey revealed that bank customers largely view banks’ fraud prevention initiatives very favorably, with 86% recognizing successful proactive fraud protection efforts and 74% rating the banking industry as the most adept at fraud prevention.

AI-driven fraud prevention solutions, such as real-time monitoring and predictive analytics, are undoubtedly important, but AI becomes truly transformative when examining its more proactive functionalities. Real time payments and ISO 20022 now provide the perfect conditions for AI to make a significant impact on payments as it’s real-time, in the cloud, and ideal for large data sources.

Further, legislative developments like the recent GENIUS Act highlight the push toward faster, more innovative, and more inclusive, interoperable payment infrastructures. The act lays the legal foundation for digital payment rails backed by stablecoins, enabling near-instant, programmable settlements and bridging the gap between crypto and legacy rails.

Regulatory frameworks will only continue evolving, at faster rates, in shorter intervals, and to greater degrees of complexity, requiring institutions to remain adaptable and proactive.

The Path to 2030: Data-rich, Interoperable, and AI-driven

Looking beyond 2025, the AI-driven payments processing flow will experience even more radical shifts; in some ways we can imagine now, and in others we cannot yet conceive of. AI’s impact will be realized across every area of the payments ecosystem, including customer experience, analytics, improved straight-through-processing (STP) rates, routing, and liquidity payments.

By 2030, stablecoins and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) will reshape cross-border transactions and expand financial inclusion globally. Payments orchestrated by AI through automated liquidity management or personalized transaction initiations will become commonplace, fundamentally altering the interaction between consumers, businesses, and banks.

Interoperability will be crucial. Initiatives like the European Payments Initiative (EPI) will pave the way for standardized, integrated payment infrastructures across regions, reducing fragmentation and bolstering economic resilience.

Strategic Imperatives for Banks and Fintechs: Acting Now for 2030’s Success

Financial institutions cannot afford to delay modernization efforts. Small and midsize banks must proactively adopt flexible, scalable platforms that support real-time payments, embedded finance solutions, and advanced fraud prevention capabilities without overwhelming costs.

Leveraging cloud-based Payments as a Service (PaaS) models will offer these institutions the agility and efficiency required to compete effectively against larger counterparts. By prioritizing strategic investments in technology platforms that facilitate innovation, banks can meet today’s challenges and capitalize on tomorrow’s opportunities.

As we enter the second half of the decade, the payments industry is not only undergoing near-term modernization; it stands on the precipice of a long-term, transformative evolution. Banks and fintech that embrace these emerging trends will cement their future success, marked by interoperability, innovation, and customer-centric agility.

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[To share your insights with us, please write to psen@itechseries.com ]

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